Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.148416 0.177139 0.209462 0.248462 0.294172 0.345978 0.409067
2025-04-20 0.109086 0.146634 0.193660 0.256584 0.338241 0.440257 0.576959
2025-04-27 0.092388 0.135565 0.194045 0.278371 0.396057 0.553546 0.779144
2025-05-04 0.078140 0.123411 0.188860 0.289253 0.437955 0.648358 0.966383
2025-05-11 0.064259 0.108448 0.176183 0.285958 0.457328 0.711937 1.115191
2025-05-18 0.052126 0.093573 0.160640 0.274970 0.462218 0.753004 1.233362
2025-05-25 0.042234 0.080367 0.145295 0.261331 0.460014 0.781405 1.333218
2025-06-01 0.037350 0.074860 0.141678 0.266165 0.487788 0.859252 1.518748
2025-06-08 0.031328 0.066142 0.131011 0.256960 0.489965 0.894357 1.636170
2025-06-15 0.028284 0.062565 0.129060 0.262985 0.519296 0.977975 1.843799
2025-06-22 0.025214 0.058375 0.125265 0.264858 0.540907 1.049657 2.036662
2025-06-29 0.022019 0.053346 0.119035 0.261016 0.550960 1.100915 2.196717
2025-07-06 0.019114 0.048596 0.113008 0.257467 0.562581 1.158953 2.380681
2025-07-13 0.017534 0.046623 0.112639 0.265823 0.599521 1.269890 2.678333
2025-07-20 0.017142 0.047422 0.118476 0.288338 0.668474 1.450540 3.129984
2025-07-27 0.015988 0.046094 0.119240 0.299583 0.714547 1.589417 3.510717
2025-08-03 0.014090 0.042457 0.113976 0.296178 0.727908 1.661873 3.761739
2025-08-10 0.012034 0.037963 0.105879 0.284823 0.721762 1.692132 3.926581
2025-08-17 0.010151 0.033539 0.097209 0.270726 0.707315 1.702559 4.049218
2025-08-24 0.009345 0.032117 0.096159 0.275724 0.739040 1.818520 4.414534
2025-08-31 0.008066 0.028964 0.089900 0.266209 0.733902 1.849981 4.592610
2025-09-07 0.007507 0.027981 0.089538 0.272436 0.769050 1.978188 5.003667
2025-09-14 0.006861 0.026570 0.087716 0.274373 0.793333 2.082835 5.368826